SuperCoach Expert Panel: Which fallen premos to target & which premiums to replace Grundy?

It’s buying season in SuperCoach, especially with Brodie Grundy’s untimely injury meaning coaches are searching around for premium picks to bolster their side but it’s always wise to target value.

Advertisements

Become a HB subscriber for $4.95 per month or $19.95 for the AFL season. Exclusive content, CBA stats, Kick-in stats, Twitter chats, prize money in our Fantasy/SuperCoach groups. Register here.

We’ve assembled an Expert Panel with seasoned veteran The SuperCoach Bull, 2020 top 150 finisher Janath Fernando, stats guru Empr, SC scribe and regular top 1000 finisher Dylan Bolch, former SC round winner and 2020 top 200 finisher Casey McDonald.

It’s worth noting, with the aid of DPP movement, you could trade Grundy anywhere on the ground, so the options feel limitless.

HB: Which ‘fallen premo’ are you considering this round, and another you’ve got on your radar for coming weeks?

The SuperCoach Bull @the_SC_bull

Jake Lloyd (SC $513k DEF, BE 122) is one fallen premo I have my eye on. Currently $513k after dropping $73k from his start price, Lloyd is only owned in 13% of teams, mostly due to the fact he missed Round 1 due to COVID-19. He’s posted three 100s and two 70s in the five games, and with an break-even of 122 this week, we might be able to snag him for around $500k next week or the week after.

Marcus Bontempelli (SC $597k MID, BE 157) is one to watch in the midfield bracket. With a high BE of 157, the Bont will set you back $597k. Expect him to drop to around $560k in the coming weeks. Bevo has been playing the Bont more forward, and while it is frustrating for owners it may also be a blessing. Will we see him obtain DPP in Round 12?

Janath Fernando @JanathFernando4

This week I’m eyeing off Clayton Oliver (SC $618k MID, BE 73) because he’s a SuperCoach star! Wish he would have become cheaper following his abnormal 68 points vs Port in Round 4. Oliver appears to be at his lowest price, and with a soft schedule coming up for the Demons including a dream VC matchup against the Hawks this week (Callum Mills scored 214 vs them in Round 6), appears to be an ideal ‘fallen premium’ target for Clarry’s non-owners this round.

Although I personally own him, Jayden Short (SC $526k DEF, BE 139) could be as cheap as $510k next week (Round 7) if he scores 100 against the Eagles. That is a bargain for arguably what many coaches believe to be the number one SuperCoach defender for 2022. A poor score of 56 against Adelaide in Round 5 is an anomaly amongst 5 other scores at or in excess of 109 this season. Even with Nick Vlastuin back, Short holds the monopoly over the Richmond kick-ins averaging close to 8 per game, whilst playing on from 85% of these.

Empr @Empr_X

The words fallen premo aren’t quite how I would describe Patrick Cripps (SC $521k MID, BE 125), at least in terms of this season given his value has climbed by $66k. However, based on recent seasons, and his form this year, being priced at just $521k presents huge value given his scoring prowess thus far. A sideways trade from the now injured Grundy by virtue of some fancy DPP work if you can muster it is an ideal way to get a valuable player into your side for a 23k profit

Christian Petracca (SC $555k MID, BE 119) is one to keep an eye on, having already dipped to $555k, and could fall further with an 87 in his cycle. The match-winning ability is still there and the Brownlow medal favourite is just having a down couple of weeks. With games against West Coast and North Melbourne in Rounds 9 and 10, there could be some monster scores in the offing if he can find some form over the next fortnight. Let’s not forget he did score a whopping 163 in Round 1

Dylan Bolch @BolchDylan

I wasn’t all that keen on Patrick Cripps (SC $521k MID, BE 125) in the pre-season given his past two injury-riddled campaigns, but I think he is finally back. If you take out his injury-affected score of 38 against Gold Coast, he is averaging 138 points per match, ranking him number one in the game. At just $521k, if he can keep that up, it’s an absolute bargain.

Another option is Swan Luke Parker (SC $475k M/F, BE 53). Parker has averaged 99+ every year since 2014 and those runs on the board are extremely enticing. However, what makes him super SuperCoach relevant is the fact that he gained dual-position status after the first round of positional changes. He hasn’t set the world on fire this season scoring wise, but he attended 75% of centre bounces (personal high this season) in the Swans win over the Hawks on ANZAC Day. I think he will tempt a lot of coaches as we enter upgrade season, and for good reason. At just $475k, he won’t be this cheap again.

Casey McDonald @NaCheers

One player that I don’t mind the look of is Luke Parker (SC $475k M/F, BE 53). For me I need to start structuring for my Round 12 bye and Parker plays Round 12. Last year I was very happy with him as an owner. He is M/F DPP, attending CBAs, cheap and generally hits the scoreboard. Has a high ceiling and averaging just under 100.

Jake Lloyd (SC $513k DEF, BE 122) is slightly down this year but how rare is it to see him at under $500k, which might be the case next week?! He is still averaging 25 disposals and takes regular kick-ins. He is one I will look at in the next few weeks. He also plays that Round 12 bye.  

Dare I say it, Josh Kelly (SC $520k MID, BE 103). He always finds his way into my team and always has very low ownership. Slight risk with injury and his coach ‘magnets’ are unpredictable but he has a high ceiling and doesn’t mind a goal.

Become a HB subscriber for $4.95 per month or $19.95 for the AFL season. Exclusive content, CBA stats, Kick-in stats, Twitter chats, prize money in our Fantasy/SuperCoach groups. Register here.

Leave a Reply