Devil’s Advocate: Who do you move $132k Mitch Marsh to? What if Stoinis doesn’t bowl?
The boys from the SuperCoach Guns are trying out a new concept called Devil’s Advocate. We will be pushing out more of these scenarios throughout the pre-season and the season proper to discuss the key SuperCoach BBL dilemmas.
Welcome back to devil’s advocate, for those who haven’t read this series before, here’s a quick recap of what this article is all about: Devil’s advocate: It’s a phrase heard often in debating to try and test the strength of opposing arguments. However, this concept can be used in SuperCoach BBL planning. In this case, by using devil’s advocate, you’re planning on how you’ll react for the worst-case scenario.
Now last week, we talked about Dan Christian and Tom Curran and asked the question, “what if they share the all-rounder duties?” Today, we’re gonna talk about two different scenarios and how they could affect your SC side. We’ll also talk about how to counteract these sticky situations.
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Our first one is a scenario that has actually occurred:
What to do with Mitch Marsh after getting picked for Australia A?
This has serious ramifications as Marsh was in 44.9% of teams last week and, due to his bargain price of $132k, he wouldn’t be a straight swap with a high-priced gun. Finding a mid-range value player in SC is like finding a diamond amongst the rocks. It’s incredibly difficult.
So you’ve got to ask yourself a couple of questions:
1.Who replaces Mitch Marsh in the Scorchers side?
2.Who is around Mitch Marsh’s price that may offer value
To answer the first question, you’re probably looking at someone who is an all-rounder who bowls pace and can bat alright. The answer is Aaron Hardie ($103k BAT/BWL), although he probably would’ve taken fellow Aussie A selection Ashton Agar‘s ($89k BAT/BWL) role. Hardie looks to have a bit of value to him but should be a watch Round 1 although he’s not yet returned to bowl after elbow surgery.
The biggest interest would have been in the Scorchers new international Brydon Carse ($125k BWL) but he sustained a season-ending injury in the English Lions camp over the weekend.
Does Cameron Bancroft ($92k BAT/WKP) get elevated up the order? Does Kurtis Patterson ($62k BAT) play? And if those occur, does Ashton Turner ($84k BAT) bowl more overs?
Then the second question, who is at Marsh’s price of $132k that I could replace him with?
Well, let’s say you’ve got $10k remaining after finalizing your side, that means $142k is your limit, well here are a few options that can easily replace Mitch Marsh:
Options
Mohammad Nabi $(139k BAT/BWL)
Wes Agar ($142k BWL)
Colin Munro ($135k BAT)
George Garton ($125k BAT/BWL)
Max Bryant ($117k BAT)
So that’s how I’d solve the Marsh issue. I’ve included a few players who have early DGWs as well as a few potential season keepers in and Nabi and Garton.
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Now the 2nd question:
What if Glenn Maxwell or Beau Webster are the sixth Stars bowler and not Marcus Stoinis?
At his price, Marcus Stoinis ($163k BAT/BWL) looks set to be a must-have for SuperCoaches to start the year, particularly for the Stars double. He’s fully fit and playing well. The last time he was in this sort of condition, he averaged 96.9 points per game in BBL|08. Stoinis is a serious player when he’s bowling as well.
What would you do if Stoinis wasn’t looking like being the sixth bowler? Well again, the answer needs a bit of looking into. The best option would be Glenn Maxwell ($195k BAT/BWL) but who could be his replacement for a similar price and does he need replacing at all?
The answer is yes, considering how many guns there are, you can’t say he’s a must have for Round 1. I’d much rather target these options below:
Options
D’Arcy Short ($179k BAT/BWL)
Chris Lynn ($172k BAT)
James Pattinson ($157k BWL)
Mohammad Nabi ($138k BAT/BWL)
Matthew Wade ($145k WKP/BAT)
Maxwell would be the big beneficiary here, as he’d be bowling 2-3 overs and potentially sneaking in a wicket or two. Maxwell really is one to start with or at least trade him in Round 2. This situation is unlikely to eventuate but certainly not impossible by any means.
The problem with the Stars is Maxwell often doesn’t tend to stick to one tactic too, so he may bowl three or four overs one game, then Webster next game and then Stoinis the game after.
Safeguard yourself against these potentially hair-pulling situations and just have a back-up plan in case these situations come true. You’ll be kicking yourself for not preparing.
