Trends Analysis: The numbers don’t lie – which teams will leak the most points

As Jhye Richardson, Alex Carey and/or Alex Hales’ performances can attest in Round 11, nailing your captain in the single game rounds can make or break your round. So we’ve done some sums for you.

As always, we like to look at the trends of the recent rounds, but also across the entirety of the whole season, given it is an ideal sample size of data to analyse trends and identify good SuperCoach players.

Of course, recent form is another key measure and it’s important not to get bogged down in season-long statistics, so we’ve crunched the numbers of every team’s points scored and conceded across the whole season and the past three rounds to find some trends, to help you pick a captain.

It’s important we clarify, putting all your eggs in one basket and basing your captaincy pick on which side is conceding the most isn’t a sure-fire recipe to success.

However, it’s a helpful guide, particularly if you’re willing to do further analysis, such as whether sides are conceding more points to bowlers or batsmen, or specific types of players. And it might help you decide on that 50-50 call. We all had plenty in Round 11 and we’ll have plenty more with the upcoming single game rounds.

SuperCoach BBL Points Conceded Past 3 Rounds (Rounds 9-11)

Brisbane Heat1689563.00
Hobart Hurricanes1350450.00
Sydney Thunder1317439.00
Melbourne Renegades1306435.33
Adelaide Strikers1304434.67
Sydney Sixers1172390.67
Perth Scorchers1496374.00
Melbourne Stars1466366.50

Overwhelmingly the Heat have begun to offer up big scores to their opposition. They crumbled to be bowled out in their past two games for 115, which always presents points.

Those games were against the in-form Scorchers and the middling Strikers. In fact those two games represented the most points scored/conceded in both rounds.

Brisbane plays the Renegades and the Scorchers in Rounds 12 and 13 respectively, thrusting the likes of Shaun Marsh ($110k BAT) (as a VC) or Jhye Richardson ($255k BWL) into the mix.

Subscribe to get access

Read more of this content when you subscribe today (for only $3.95 per month) and gain subscriber-only access to;

  • Honeyball’s AFL-style BBL injury/absentee list,
  • SuperCoach BBL trend analysis feature each round,
  • BBL coach/player long-play video interviews (minimum 4 per week),
  • Weekly features with experts (such as former top 10 finishers),
  • Access to Honeyball Magazine features,
  • Customised email on the day of the first game of every round with latest news & experts opinions.

Leave a Reply